What Is Iran's Plan?

Excerpts from Reuters:

Iran ratchets up atom work despite sanctions threat

TEHRAN (Reuters) - Iran's president gave instructions on Sunday for the production of higher-grade nuclear reactor fuel, prompting the United States and Germany to threaten carefully targeted new sanctions against Tehran.
Sun Feb 7, 2010 9:52am EST

President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's announcement raised the stakes in Iran's dispute with the West, but he said talks were still possible on a nuclear swap offer by world powers designed to allay fears the Islamic Republic is making an atomic bomb.
U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said the response by Iran, a major oil exporter which says its nuclear program is to make electricity and not bombs, was very disappointing.
"If the international community will stand together and bring pressure to bear on the Iranian government, I believe there is still time for sanctions and pressure to work," he told a news conference during a visit to Italy.
There was international consensus to avoid "more hardship than is absolutely necessary" on the Iranian people, said Gates.
Germany also raised the sanctions threat, while Britain said Iran's new plans would breach U.N. resolutions.
"It may be that the sanctions screw needs to be or can be turned here and there. We need to consider very carefully what impact our options could have," German Defense Minister Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg said, adding it should be made clear to Iran that "patience is at an end."
Iran has already had three sets of sanctions imposed on it. China, which has veto power in the U.N. Security Council, has made clear it wants big powers to keep talking to Iran rather than impose new measures.
The United States, China and other major powers have proposed that Iran send most of its low-enriched uranium abroad in return for nuclear fuel refined to a level of 20 percent, for use in the Tehran reactor producing medical isotopes.

From UK Telegraph:
Read full article here

'Divine mission' driving Iran's new leader


  1. Last Tuesday, Directors of the CIA, FBI and National Intelligence declared that an attack by Al Qaeda in the next 3 to 6 months “is certain!” Leon Panetta, CIA Director announced, “The biggest threat is not so much that we face an attack like 9/11. It is that Al Qaeda is adapting its methods in ways that oftentimes make it difficult to detect.”

    Panetta’s statement does not take into account the ability to identify any terrorist whose goal it is to give up their life for a cause. Only when you are observing measurable emerging aggression can you identify a terrorist before they effect their violence.

    The Center for Aggression Management discovered 15 years ago that there were two kinds of aggression: adrenaline-driven Primal Aggression and intent-driven Cognitive Aggression. The Primal Aggressor, in the extreme, is “red-faced and ready to explode,” the Cognitive Aggressor (the terrorist) is not. When a person, regardless of the culture, gender, education or position, rises to the level where their goal is to give up their life for a cause, their body looses animation and we see the “thousand-yard stare.” But it is more than this, the whole body and behavior looses animation and this is how we can identify them. The problem is that security and law enforcement are still looking for the Primal Aggressor (red-faced and ready to explode). Of course they are finding it difficult to detect these terrorist; a terrorist is a Cognitive Aggression; they are looking for the wrong person!

    As our Government analyzes what went wrong regarding Abdulmatallab’s entrance into the United States, you can be assured that Al Qaeda is also analyzing how their plans went wrong. Who do you think will figure it out first . . . ?

    You can read more at http://blog.AggressionManagement.com

  2. PW, do you believe that Greece will end up bailed out by Germany and France? Will the bailout of Greece lead to a second crisis in the Eurozone? If another crisis is coming for the Eurozone, what kind of crisis will it be?

  3. Given the recent comments of the head of the European Central Bank, Jean-Claude Trichet, I believe some type of bailout is inevitable. The form is takes is uncertain at this point, although a line of credit is a possibility. While my view remains that this bailout will not trigger a second crisis, other countries will no doubt line up at the bailout trough. Spain and Portugal are likely candidates.
    The trigger for a second crisis, in my view, is not the bailouts themselves but the realization by the market that the socialist EU will continue to balloon the debt without restraint with every country that receives a line of credit or some other remedy. Since the UK is also heading down the same spending path, they will also be part of the trigger. A bond market blow up and currency crisis seem almost inevitable at this point.
    Of course, Iran might do something crazy to Israel tomorrow and that could trigger further market and geopolitical drama.


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